UNVEILING IRAN’S DETERRENCE BY DENIAL STRATEGY IN RETALIATORY STRIKE AGAINST ISRAEL
Keywords:
Deterrence by Denial, Iran-Israel Conflict, Retaliatory Attack
Abstract
against Israel in March 2024. Grounded in the ‘Deterrence by Denial’ theoretical framework, the research explores Iran’s strategic objectives and the key characteristics of this strategy, including the use of diverse military capabilities, the real-time nature of its threat actions, and the competitive dynamics of the deterrence process. Employing a qualitative approach that relies on a comprehensive analysis of primary and secondary sources, the study reveals that Iran’s primary aim was to persuade Israel that any prospective attack would be both costly and ultimately unsuccessful. The research findings highlight strategic implications and recommendations related to understanding regional conflict dynamics, adapting defence strategies, and the potential for escalation in the Middle East
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References
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Chamolli, A. (2024). Israel at War. International Journal of Science and Research (IJSR), 13, 780–783. https://doi.org/10.21275/SR24111104207
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Faizi, L. (2023). 3 Kelompok Militan Timur Tengah yang Ikut Membantu Palestina, Nomor Terakhir Tak Terduga. SINDOnews.Com. https://international.sindonews.com/read/1242439/45/3-kelompok-militan-timur-tengah-yang-ikut-membantu-p
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Furlan, M. (2022). Israeli-Iranian relations: past friendship, current hostility. Israel Affairs, 28(2), 170–183. https://doi.org/10.1080/13537121.2022.2041304
Gutfeld, A. (2017). From ‘Star Wars’ to ‘Iron Dome’: US support of Israel’s Missile Defense systems. Middle Eastern Studies, 53, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/00263206.2017.1350844
Haffa, R. P. (2018). The Future of Conventional Deterrence. Strategic Studies Quarterly, 12(4), 94–115.
Harvey, J. (1997). Conventional Deterrence and National Security. Air Power Studies Centre.
Institute for the Study of War. (2024). Iran Update, April 1, 2024. Institute for the Study of War. https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-1-2024
Jaspal, R. (2013). Israel in the Iranian Media: Demonizing the “Zionist Regime.†Israel Journal of Foreign Affairs, 7(1), 77–86. https://doi.org/10.1080/23739770.2013.11446536
Jayamaha, B., Petit, K., Matisek, J., Reno, W., Rose, M., & Jahn, M. (2019). The Great Saudi-Iranian Proxy Game. Middle East Quarterly, 26, 1–10.
Karimian, E., Jaberi, M. S., Soltani, S., & Lorenz, M. (2018). Investment in Iran. Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden.
Lendon, B. (2024). How Israel and allied defenses intercepted more than 300 Iranian missiles and drones. CNN. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/04/14/middleeast/israel-air-missile-defense-iran-attack-intl-hnk-ml/index.html
Maher, N. (2020). Balancing deterrence: Iran-Israel relations in a turbulent Middle East. Review of Economics and Political Science, ahead-of-p. https://doi.org/10.1108/REPS-06-2019-0085
Mahmoudian, A. (2023). Russia-Iran Military Cooperation: The Dynamic Is Changing Dramatically Because of Drones in the Ukraine War. GNSI Publications. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.5038/AKCW2651
Masoumi, S., & Shi, Z. (2022). Iranian Culture. Independently published.
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Nakao, K. (2021). Denial and punishment in war. Journal of Peace Research, 59(2), 166–179. https://doi.org/10.1177/00223433211009765
O’Connell, M. E. (2018). The Popular But Unlawful Armed Reprisal. Notre Dame Law School Legal Studies Research, 44 ONU L. Rev. 325. https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:158863132
Rezaei, F. (2019). Iran’s Military Capability: The Structure and Strength of Forces. Insight Turkey, 21(4), 183–214. https://doi.org/10.25253/99.2019EV.01
Rezaei, F., & Cohen, R. (2014). Iran’s Nuclear Program and the Israeli-Iranian Rivalry in the Post Revolutionary Era. British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, 41, 442–460. https://doi.org/10.1080/13530194.2014.942081
Roisah, S. N. S. K., & Hardiwinoto, S. (2017). Tindakan Pembalasan (Reprisal) Oleh Israel Terhadap Jalur Gaza (Palestina) Dalam Perspektif Hukum Humaniter Internasional. Diponegoro Law Journal, 6, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.14710/dlj.2017.19599
Roomi, F., & Kazemi, E. (2021). The Place of Proxy Groups in the Foreign Policy Strategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran. World Politics, 10(1), 131–162. https://doi.org/10.22124/WP.2021.17992.2653
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Taleblu, B. Ben, & Syring, J. D. (2023). Arsenal Assessing the Islamic Republic of Iran’s Ballistic Missile Program. FOUNDATION FOR DEFENSE OF DEMOCRACIES PRESS.
The International Institute for Strategic Studies. (2021). Open-source analysis of Iran’s missile and UAV capabilities and proliferation. In IISS research paper. https://www.iiss.org/research-paper/2021/04/iran-missiles-uavs-proliferation/
The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights. (2024). Death toll update. The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights. https://www.syriahr.com/en/329999/
The Washington Post. (2024). Mapping the Iranian strikes on Israel. The Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/14/mapping-wide-scale-iranian-drone-missile-attacks/
Weisser, A. (2016). ISRAEL AND IRAN: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE. Georgetown University.
Xi, C., & Tengfei, G. (2022). An Analysis of the United States’ Deterrence by Denial Strategy Against China. Journal of International Security Studies. https://interpret.csis.org/translations/an-analysis-of-the-united-states-deterrence-by-denial-strategy-against-china/
Zaccara, L. (2016). Iran’s Permanent Quest for Regional Power Status. Diplomatic Strategies of Nations in the Global South, 181–211. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-45226-9_7
Zampronha, D., & Albuquerque, A. (2024). Cheaper Precision Weapons: An Exploratory Study about the HESA Shahed 136. Advances in Aerospace Science and Technology, 09(01), 40–59. https://doi.org/10.4236/aast.2024.91004
Zorri, D. M., Sadri, H. A., & Ellis, D. C. (2020). Iranian Proxy Groups in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen: A Principal-agent Comparative Analysis. JSOU University Press.
Published
2024-08-12
How to Cite
Maulana, M. A. (2024). UNVEILING IRAN’S DETERRENCE BY DENIAL STRATEGY IN RETALIATORY STRIKE AGAINST ISRAEL. Indonesian Journal of International Relations, 8(2), 480-503. https://doi.org/10.32787/ijir.v8i2.574
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